Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 3.045773 3.635579 4.294195 5.081980 5.996346 7.021823 8.256541
2025-11-23 2.197245 2.949589 3.877991 5.098899 6.652077 8.550902 11.035540
2025-11-30 1.656053 2.455044 3.526710 5.049560 7.134449 9.861928 13.667603
2025-12-07 1.237866 2.006488 3.116738 4.804972 7.266797 10.677241 15.697705
2025-12-14 0.994324 1.744268 2.900189 4.763627 7.630639 11.797852 18.210889
2025-12-21 0.818036 1.543421 2.729722 4.745447 7.998191 12.929913 20.818450
2025-12-28 0.734708 1.476549 2.753125 5.021379 8.831158 14.813815 24.693189
2026-01-04 0.643022 1.374668 2.697489 5.151004 9.431892 16.380526 28.202305
2026-01-11 0.578553 1.309667 2.692903 5.360599 10.177635 18.231198 32.300235
2026-01-18 0.499148 1.198506 2.584487 5.365221 10.562219 19.510697 35.557846
2026-01-25 0.413455 1.055875 2.391797 5.183165 10.586152 20.170300 37.815315
2026-02-01 0.342899 0.930866 2.212780 4.999274 10.578318 20.760739 39.982126
2026-02-08 0.298430 0.858206 2.133878 5.010246 10.951000 22.079126 43.567977
2026-02-15 0.260487 0.793142 2.061003 5.023673 11.329362 23.439770 47.338209
2026-02-22 0.224082 0.723363 1.965441 4.973985 11.572262 24.562277 50.750798
2026-03-01 0.182635 0.629112 1.795159 4.732383 11.386711 24.840361 52.591002
2026-03-08 0.158004 0.576571 1.717533 4.691507 11.621036 25.955421 56.106978
2026-03-15 0.137939 0.532523 1.653659 4.673546 11.901206 27.180432 59.918708
2026-03-22 0.131925 0.531953 1.705273 4.945745 12.860196 29.866942 66.814984
2026-03-29 0.120929 0.511954 1.700148 5.073624 13.498544 31.928696 72.578303
2026-04-05 0.113591 0.502855 1.724412 5.280411 14.340998 34.481665 79.506819
2026-04-12 0.100815 0.470448 1.674992 5.284971 14.698937 36.014640 84.409528
2026-04-19 0.084814 0.420718 1.563847 5.105353 14.586727 36.506094 87.143538